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Will PCs Be Dead and Gone by 2018?
Will PCs Be Dead and Gone by 2018?

By Jennifer LeClaire
March 5, 2014 10:24AM

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Market research firm IDC is forecasting the continued decline of the PC over the next four year, due in part to the impact of slower economic growth, as well as pressure from tablets and smartphones. Despite IDC's gloom and doom predictions, PCs won’t go away altogether, said analyst Roger Kay.
 



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The Emerging Markets Impact

With that in mind, let’s take a closer look at emerging regions, which, again, has always been a bright spot on the big picture. For the fourth quarter, emerging regions finished poorly with volume dropping 11.3 percent. But it could get worse from here .

Indeed, IDC expressed concerns that the impact of slower economic growth, the culmination of some large projects, and conservative expectations for factors like touch capability, migration off Windows XP, as well as continued pressure from tablets and smartphones has further depressed expectations going forward.

Loren Loverde, Vice President of Worldwide PC Trackers, said emerging markets used to be a core driver of the PC market, as rising penetration among large populations boosted overall growth.

“At the moment, however, we're seeing emerging regions more affected by a weak economic environment as well as significant shifts in technology buying priorities,” he said. “We do expect these regions to recover in the medium term and perform better than mature regions, but growth is expected to stabilize near zero percent, rather than driving increasing volumes as we saw in the past."

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Tell Us What You Think
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Charles:

Posted: 2014-03-06 @ 6:36am PT
A lot of people have been running the same computer for over 10 years. Otherwise they would not be still using XP?

Charles:

Posted: 2014-03-06 @ 6:32am PT
Maybe it is a good thing that there are less desktops. I use my computer to watch TV and movies on the Internet, so no reason for that to be mobile as an HTPC. Some people like mobility and some people like desktop and some people like their smart phones. The other factor is people are basically Cheap. They are unwilling to pay $1500 for just a computer.





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